Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCIN vs TB · Week 1
WR27 yrsClemson15 games of history
Projection
14.5
Floor
7.5
Ceiling
25.2
Edge vs market
-0.6
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.1%
Spike rate
23%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs CLE | 87% | 9 | 24% |
Leverage
2.51×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 67 |
| 1 |
| -0.83 |
| 18.7 |
| 17 | vs ARI | 57% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 59 | 0 | 1.03 | 9.9 |
| 16 | @ MIA | 62% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 53 | 1 | 1.69 | 14.3 |
| 14 | @ BUF | 73% | 11 | 31% | 0 | 92 | 2 | 0.85 | 27.2 |
| 12 | vs NE | 77% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 31 | 0 | -0.30 | 8.1 |
| 11 | @ PIT | 92% | 8 | 21% | 0 | 63 | 1 | -0.98 | 15.3 |
| 9 | vs CHI | 82% | 9 | 20% | 0 | 121 | 2 | 1.28 | 33.1 |
| 8 | vs NYJ | 88% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 44 | 1 | 1.74 | 11.4 |
| 7 | vs PIT | 87% | 10 | 22% | 0 | 96 | 1 | 0.73 | 21.6 |
| 6 | @ GB | 80% | 8 | 20% | 0 | 62 | 0 | 0.71 | 11.2 |
| 5 | vs DET | 97% | 7 | 18% | 0 | 22 | 1 | -0.11 | 11.2 |
| 4 | @ DEN | 83% | 6 | 27% | 0 | 32 | 0 | -0.32 | 6.2 |