Season2026·Week1
UpgradeMIN vs GB · Week 1
WR27 yrsLSU17 games of history
Projection
14.3
Floor
8.8
Ceiling
22.8
Edge vs market
-3.0
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.0%
Spike rate
17%
Leverage
1.84×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs GB | 76% | 11 | 37% | 1 | 104 | 0 | 0.36 | 18.4 |
| 17 | vs DET | 98% | 5 | 36% | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0.15 | 7.0 |
| 16 | @ NYG | 95% | 8 | 35% | 0 | 85 | 0 | 1.04 | 14.5 |
| 15 | @ DAL | 96% | 8 | 33% | 0 | 22 | 0 | -0.83 | 4.2 |
| 14 | vs WAS | 80% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.05 | 3.1 |
| 13 | @ SEA | 96% | 6 | 21% | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1.22 | 2.4 |
| 12 | @ GB | 100% | 6 | 33% | 0 | 48 | 0 | -0.41 | 8.8 |
| 11 | vs CHI | 100% | 9 | 28% | 0 | 61 | 0 | -0.76 | 11.1 |
| 10 | vs BAL | 100% | 12 | 29% | 0 | 37 | 0 | -0.92 | 7.7 |
| 9 | @ DET | 95% | 9 | 39% | 0 | 47 | 1 | 0.08 | 16.7 |
| 8 | @ LAC | 88% | 11 | 37% | 0 | 74 | 0 | -0.22 | 14.4 |
| 7 | vs PHI | 99% | 10 | 25% | 0 | 79 | 0 | -0.36 | 12.9 |