Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCHI vs CAR · Week 1
RB27 yrsGeorgia16 games of history
Projection
12.9
Floor
6.2
Ceiling
23.1
Edge vs market
+0.6
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.2%
Spike rate
16%
Leverage
2.16×
Hits his ceiling 16% of the time at a projected 3.2% ownership — 2.16× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 6 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DET | 58% | 2 | 7% | 10 | 48 | 0 | -0.01 | 5.8 |
| 17 | @ SF | 59% | 3 | 8% | 9 | 79 | 2 | 0.41 | 21.9 |
| 16 | vs GB | 55% | 2 | 7% | 13 | 70 | 0 | -0.08 | 9.0 |
| 15 | vs CLE | 56% | 1 | 4% | 18 | 96 | 2 | 0.13 | 22.6 |
| 14 | @ GB | 57% | 4 | 14% | 13 | 82 | 0 | 0.23 | 11.2 |
| 13 | @ PHI | 53% | 2 | 6% | 18 | 138 | 1 | 0.27 | 20.8 |
| 12 | vs PIT | 45% | 1 | 3% | 8 | 29 | 0 | -0.68 | 1.9 |
| 11 | @ MIN | 57% | 1 | 4% | 21 | 90 | 0 | -0.08 | 9.0 |
| 10 | vs NYG | 62% | 8 | 22% | 13 | 98 | 0 | -0.33 | 14.8 |
| 8 | @ BAL | 49% | 2 | 6% | 11 | 71 | 1 | 0.35 | 15.1 |
| 7 | vs NO | 54% | 1 | 4% | 19 | 138 | 1 | 0.27 | 20.8 |
| 6 | @ WAS | 56% | 3 | 10% | 14 | 175 | 1 | 0.72 | 25.5 |