Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDAL vs NYG · Week 1
WR27 yrsOklahoma13 games of history
Projection
14.6
Floor
8.2
Ceiling
24.4
Edge vs market
-3.9
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.2%
Spike rate
21%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ NYG | 45% | 1 | 4% |
Leverage
2.22×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0.36 |
| 1.4 |
| 17 | @ WAS | 87% | 10 | 28% | 0 | 46 | 0 | -0.12 | 9.6 |
| 16 | vs LAC | 86% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 51 | 0 | 0.28 | 11.1 |
| 15 | vs MIN | 86% | 10 | 29% | 0 | 111 | 0 | 0.59 | 17.1 |
| 14 | @ DET | 46% | 8 | 17% | 0 | 121 | 0 | 1.00 | 18.1 |
| 13 | vs KC | 81% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 112 | 1 | 0.98 | 24.2 |
| 12 | vs PHI | 85% | 11 | 31% | 0 | 75 | 0 | -0.48 | 11.5 |
| 11 | @ LV | 73% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 66 | 1 | 0.34 | 17.6 |
| 9 | vs ARI | 88% | 12 | 33% | 0 | 85 | 0 | 0.01 | 15.5 |
| 8 | @ DEN | 72% | 10 | 29% | 1 | 76 | 0 | -0.46 | 14.6 |
| 7 | vs WAS | 78% | 8 | 27% | 0 | 110 | 1 | 0.51 | 22.0 |
| 2 | vs NYG | 92% | 11 | 21% | 0 | 112 | 0 | 0.54 | 20.2 |