Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCLE vs JAX · Week 1
WR27 yrsAlabama17 games of history
Projection
11.0
Floor
6.4
Ceiling
18.0
Edge vs market
+1.1
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.8%
Spike rate
3%
Leverage
0.37×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ CIN | 88% | 6 | 29% | 1 | 22 | 0 | -0.02 | 4.2 |
| 17 | vs PIT | 94% | 7 | 30% | 0 | 54 | 0 | 0.01 | 10.4 |
| 16 | vs BUF | 73% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0.58 | 4.2 |
| 15 | @ CHI | 96% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 22 | 0 | -0.54 | 4.2 |
| 14 | vs TEN | 88% | 5 | 13% | 0 | 76 | 1 | 0.97 | 16.6 |
| 13 | vs SF | 84% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0.14 | 5.6 |
| 12 | @ LV | 65% | 3 | 17% | 0 | 39 | 0 | -3.12 | 2.9 |
| 11 | vs BAL | 82% | 7 | 28% | 0 | 21 | 0 | -0.65 | 5.1 |
| 10 | @ NYJ | 96% | 12 | 38% | 0 | 78 | 1 | 0.33 | 19.8 |
| 8 | @ NE | 83% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.14 | 0.0 |
| 7 | vs MIA | 68% | 4 | 22% | 0 | 17 | 0 | -0.28 | 3.7 |
| 6 | @ PIT | 89% | 13 | 25% | 0 | 43 | 0 | -0.17 | 9.3 |