Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYG vs DAL · Week 1
RB28 yrsFlorida Atlantic17 games of history
Projection
8.7
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
17.7
Edge vs market
+4.5
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
3%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DAL | 32% | 0 | 0% |
Leverage
1.52×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 9 |
| 26 |
| 1 |
| 0.01 |
| 10.6 |
| 17 | @ LV | 30% | 4 | 14% | 8 | 70 | 1 | 0.23 | 17.0 |
| 16 | vs MIN | 38% | 1 | 8% | 11 | 46 | 0 | -0.03 | 5.6 |
| 15 | vs WAS | 24% | 1 | 3% | 5 | 14 | 0 | -0.57 | 2.4 |
| 13 | @ NE | 51% | 3 | 13% | 12 | 102 | 1 | 0.42 | 19.2 |
| 12 | @ DET | 30% | 0 | 0% | 14 | 47 | 0 | -0.25 | 4.7 |
| 11 | vs GB | 49% | 1 | 3% | 16 | 47 | 2 | 0.00 | 17.7 |
| 10 | @ CHI | 33% | 3 | 9% | 8 | 73 | 0 | 0.05 | 10.3 |
| 9 | vs SF | 56% | 2 | 6% | 8 | 51 | 0 | 0.00 | 7.1 |
| 8 | @ PHI | 15% | 1 | 5% | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0.50 | 3.8 |
| 7 | @ DEN | 4% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0.34 | 0.2 |
| 6 | vs PHI | 6% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 10 | 0 | -0.16 | 1.0 |