Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTEN vs NYJ · Week 1
RB29 yrsMemphis17 games of history
Projection
12.0
Floor
6.3
Ceiling
20.7
Edge vs market
+0.4
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.7%
Spike rate
9%
Leverage
1.54×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ JAX | 63% | 3 | 9% | 14 | 65 | 0 | -0.03 | 9.5 |
| 17 | vs NO | 50% | 2 | 6% | 18 | 95 | 0 | 0.01 | 11.5 |
| 16 | vs KC | 55% | 0 | 0% | 21 | 102 | 0 | 0.03 | 10.2 |
| 15 | @ SF | 53% | 2 | 7% | 14 | 112 | 1 | 0.37 | 18.2 |
| 14 | @ CLE | 59% | 0 | 0% | 25 | 161 | 2 | 0.15 | 28.1 |
| 13 | vs JAX | 46% | 2 | 6% | 10 | 63 | 0 | -0.44 | 5.3 |
| 12 | vs SEA | 51% | 5 | 13% | 11 | 41 | 0 | -0.40 | 8.1 |
| 11 | vs HOU | 49% | 3 | 8% | 10 | 26 | 0 | -0.39 | 5.6 |
| 9 | vs LAC | 62% | 2 | 10% | 10 | 68 | 0 | -0.18 | 7.8 |
| 8 | @ IND | 46% | 2 | 5% | 11 | 53 | 0 | -0.22 | 6.3 |
| 7 | vs NE | 57% | 6 | 19% | 6 | 61 | 0 | 0.02 | 12.1 |
| 6 | @ LV | 43% | 2 | 6% | 10 | 47 | 0 | -0.22 | 6.7 |