Season2026·Week1
UpgradeJAX vs CLE · Week 1
WR29 yrsNorth Carolina State16 games of history
Projection
13.7
Floor
10.0
Ceiling
19.4
Edge vs market
+2.2
Confidence
93%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.3%
Spike rate
5%
Leverage
0.74×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs TEN | 79% | 6 | 19% | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0.52 | 9.4 |
| 17 | @ IND | 94% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 39 | 0 | -0.52 | 7.9 |
| 16 | @ DEN | 86% | 8 | 23% | 1 | 46 | 0 | -0.15 | 8.6 |
| 15 | vs NYJ | 87% | 7 | 25% | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0.69 | 12.1 |
| 14 | vs IND | 83% | 10 | 32% | 3 | 48 | 1 | -0.10 | 14.8 |
| 13 | @ TEN | 92% | 6 | 24% | 1 | 93 | 1 | 1.12 | 21.3 |
| 12 | @ ARI | 84% | 6 | 20% | 0 | 50 | 1 | -0.82 | 15.0 |
| 11 | vs LAC | 65% | 6 | 27% | 0 | 64 | 0 | 0.84 | 11.4 |
| 10 | @ HOU | 44% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 41 | 0 | 1.43 | 7.1 |
| 9 | vs JAX | 89% | 6 | 16% | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.3 |
| 6 | vs TEN | 90% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0.89 | 7.9 |
| 5 | @ IND | 88% | 6 | 17% | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0.34 | 7.2 |