Season2026·Week1
UpgradeBUF vs HOU · Week 1
TE29 yrsOle Miss16 games of history
Projection
9.9
Floor
4.7
Ceiling
17.8
Edge vs market
+2.8
Confidence
93%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
17%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs NYJ | 5% | 2 | 7% |
Leverage
7.78×
Hits his ceiling 17% of the time at a projected 1.0% ownership — 7.78× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 26 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 24 |
| 1 |
| 1.39 |
| 10.4 |
| 17 | vs PHI | 63% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0.24 | 8.0 |
| 16 | @ CLE | 68% | 2 | 11% | 0 | 10 | 0 | -1.51 | 2.0 |
| 15 | @ NE | 64% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 37 | 2 | 1.64 | 18.7 |
| 14 | vs CIN | 55% | 7 | 26% | 0 | 93 | 0 | 0.67 | 17.3 |
| 13 | @ PIT | 72% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.40 | 5.8 |
| 12 | @ HOU | 86% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.03 | 4.7 |
| 11 | vs TB | 77% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 23 | 0 | -0.13 | 3.3 |
| 10 | @ MIA | 68% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 37 | 0 | -0.78 | 6.7 |
| 9 | vs KC | 48% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 30 | 0 | 2.73 | 4.0 |
| 8 | @ CAR | 43% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1.32 | 2.5 |
| 6 | @ ATL | 81% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 19 | 1 | 1.63 | 8.9 |