Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSF vs LAR · Week 1
WR30 yrsSouth Carolina16 games of history
Projection
11.6
Floor
6.5
Ceiling
19.3
Edge vs market
+1.3
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.0%
Spike rate
6%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ PHI | 71% | 5 | 26% |
Leverage
1.26×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 2 |
| 21 |
| 0 |
| -1.04 |
| 4.1 |
| 17 | vs DAL | 82% | 4 | 19% | 2 | 93 | 0 | 0.59 | 11.3 |
| 16 | vs PHI | 81% | 4 | 20% | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0.52 | 6.5 |
| 15 | @ NYG | 61% | 5 | 31% | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0.23 | 7.3 |
| 14 | @ MIN | 52% | 6 | 30% | 0 | 27 | 0 | -0.27 | 6.7 |
| 13 | vs DEN | 70% | 7 | 16% | 2 | 61 | 0 | 0.18 | 11.1 |
| 11 | @ MIA | 75% | 8 | 28% | 1 | 77 | 1 | 0.40 | 20.7 |
| 10 | vs DET | 78% | 5 | 23% | 0 | 29 | 1 | 0.91 | 12.9 |
| 9 | vs SEA | 68% | 6 | 29% | 1 | 44 | 0 | 0.03 | 9.4 |
| 8 | @ KC | 74% | 6 | 20% | 1 | 12 | 0 | -1.26 | 4.2 |
| 6 | vs CHI | 72% | 5 | 21% | 1 | 14 | 0 | -0.98 | 5.4 |
| 5 | @ LAC | 78% | 11 | 48% | 0 | 96 | 1 | 0.71 | 23.6 |