Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNE vs SEA · Week 1
WR29 yrsOle Miss15 games of history
Projection
16.1
Floor
8.2
Ceiling
28.3
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
91%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
5.7%
Spike rate
32%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | @ BUF | 89% | 7 | 32% |
2.50×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 68 |
| 0 |
| 0.64 |
| 11.8 |
| 16 | @ WAS | 87% | 12 | 41% | 0 | 95 | 0 | 0.43 | 18.5 |
| 15 | vs LV | 72% | 2 | 11% | 0 | 41 | 1 | 2.96 | 12.1 |
| 14 | @ LAC | 97% | 13 | 34% | 0 | 100 | 0 | -0.77 | 16.0 |
| 13 | vs CHI | 96% | 12 | 40% | 0 | 132 | 2 | 0.55 | 35.2 |
| 12 | @ DAL | 94% | 10 | 28% | 0 | 110 | 1 | 0.84 | 25.0 |
| 11 | vs DET | 93% | 11 | 41% | 0 | 49 | 0 | -0.23 | 11.9 |
| 10 | @ GB | 78% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 13 | 0 | -0.15 | 3.3 |
| 7 | @ MIN | 92% | 6 | 26% | 0 | 121 | 2 | 2.42 | 28.1 |
| 6 | @ NYG | 96% | 9 | 28% | 0 | 80 | 0 | 0.39 | 14.0 |
| 5 | vs DEN | 93% | 8 | 22% | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0.06 | 9.3 |
| 4 | @ TB | 96% | 9 | 38% | 0 | 7 | 0 | -0.68 | 2.7 |