Season2026·Week1
UpgradeGB vs MIN · Week 1
RBQuestionable28 yrsAlabama15 games of history
Projection
12.0
Floor
3.5
Ceiling
25.0
Edge vs market
-1.4
Confidence
91%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.8%
Spike rate
19%
Leverage
2.96×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs BAL | 28% | 1 | 4% | 4 | 3 | 0 | -1.08 | 1.3 |
| 16 | @ CHI | 39% | 2 | 8% | 12 | 48 | 0 | -0.63 | 4.8 |
| 15 | @ DEN | 55% | 3 | 8% | 12 | 92 | 2 | 0.10 | 23.2 |
| 14 | vs CHI | 72% | 2 | 9% | 20 | 92 | 1 | 0.13 | 17.2 |
| 13 | @ DET | 54% | 1 | 3% | 17 | 91 | 0 | -0.03 | 10.1 |
| 11 | @ NYG | 22% | 1 | 4% | 7 | 40 | 0 | 0.31 | 4.0 |
| 10 | vs PHI | 74% | 6 | 18% | 21 | 107 | 1 | -0.10 | 19.7 |
| 9 | vs CAR | 58% | 5 | 14% | 17 | 100 | 1 | 0.11 | 20.0 |
| 8 | @ PIT | 53% | 3 | 9% | 13 | 45 | 1 | -0.11 | 13.5 |
| 7 | @ ARI | 55% | 1 | 4% | 13 | 58 | 2 | 0.14 | 18.8 |
| 6 | vs CIN | 79% | 5 | 19% | 18 | 150 | 2 | 0.19 | 32.0 |
| 4 | @ DAL | 65% | 4 | 11% | 22 | 157 | 2 | 0.26 | 31.7 |