Season2026·Week1
UpgradePIT vs ATL · Week 1
WRQuestionable28 yrsOle Miss15 games of history
Projection
13.1
Floor
7.7
Ceiling
21.3
Edge vs market
+1.5
Confidence
91%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.9%
Spike rate
11%
Leverage
1.71×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | @ DET | 88% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 42 | 0 | 0.02 | 8.2 |
| 15 | vs MIA | 79% | 3 | 11% | 0 | 55 | 1 | 2.06 | 14.5 |
| 14 | @ BAL | 83% | 12 | 36% | 0 | 148 | 0 | 0.57 | 21.8 |
| 13 | vs BUF | 86% | 5 | 23% | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0.99 | 6.2 |
| 12 | @ CHI | 85% | 8 | 26% | 2 | 34 | 1 | -0.30 | 14.4 |
| 11 | vs CIN | 86% | 8 | 28% | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0.08 | 9.9 |
| 10 | @ LAC | 92% | 7 | 25% | 0 | 35 | 0 | -1.10 | 6.5 |
| 9 | vs IND | 82% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 6 | 0 | -0.54 | 2.6 |
| 8 | vs GB | 94% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 55 | 1 | 0.52 | 16.5 |
| 7 | @ CIN | 98% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0.07 | 8.0 |
| 6 | vs CLE | 83% | 9 | 31% | 0 | 95 | 1 | 0.50 | 19.5 |
| 4 | vs MIN | 79% | 5 | 23% | 0 | 126 | 1 | 2.01 | 23.6 |