Season2026·Week1
UpgradePHI vs WSH · Week 1
TE31 yrsSouth Dakota State15 games of history
Projection
13.9
Floor
7.4
Ceiling
23.9
Edge vs market
+0.0
Confidence
91%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.1%
Spike rate
44%
Leverage
9.11×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | @ BUF | 80% | 6 | 27% | 0 | 8 | 1 | -0.38 | 9.8 |
| 16 | @ WAS | 87% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 32 | 1 | 1.72 | 12.2 |
| 15 | vs LV | 74% | 7 | 39% | 0 | 70 | 2 | 0.72 | 25.0 |
| 14 | @ LAC | 93% | 10 | 26% | 0 | 78 | 0 | 0.86 | 15.8 |
| 13 | vs CHI | 89% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 27 | 0 | -0.47 | 4.7 |
| 12 | @ DAL | 92% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.52 | 4.0 |
| 11 | vs DET | 90% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 24 | 0 | -0.09 | 4.4 |
| 10 | @ GB | 86% | 6 | 26% | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0.45 | 8.3 |
| 8 | vs NYG | 63% | 3 | 15% | 0 | 28 | 2 | 1.76 | 17.8 |
| 7 | @ MIN | 98% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 18 | 0 | -0.12 | 4.8 |
| 6 | @ NYG | 89% | 11 | 34% | 0 | 110 | 1 | 0.56 | 26.0 |
| 5 | vs DEN | 79% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 19 | 1 | -0.17 | 10.9 |