Season2026·Week1
UpgradeBAL vs IND · Week 1
TE30 yrsOklahoma17 games of history
Projection
9.6
Floor
5.2
Ceiling
16.4
Edge vs market
-3.6
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.0%
Spike rate
13%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ PIT | 59% | 3 | 18% |
Leverage
2.80×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| -0.34 |
| 3.4 |
| 17 | @ GB | 41% | 4 | 20% | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.65 | 6.8 |
| 16 | vs NE | 44% | 3 | 15% | 1 | 24 | 0 | -0.06 | 4.4 |
| 15 | @ CIN | 41% | 3 | 25% | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.24 | 3.8 |
| 14 | vs PIT | 68% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 9 | 0 | -0.87 | 1.9 |
| 13 | vs CIN | 68% | 6 | 20% | 0 | 47 | 0 | -0.51 | 8.7 |
| 12 | vs NYJ | 67% | 3 | 15% | 2 | 11 | 0 | -0.46 | 2.1 |
| 11 | @ CLE | 61% | 5 | 20% | 1 | 67 | 1 | 1.07 | 15.7 |
| 10 | @ MIN | 63% | 5 | 18% | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0.05 | 10.4 |
| 9 | @ MIA | 50% | 3 | 13% | 2 | 26 | 2 | 1.57 | 16.6 |
| 8 | vs CHI | 60% | 3 | 14% | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0.59 | 6.4 |
| 6 | vs LA | 78% | 6 | 19% | 3 | 26 | 0 | -0.05 | 6.6 |