Season2026·Week1
UpgradeBUF vs HOU · Week 1
WRQuestionable29 yrsMaryland17 games of history
Projection
11.2
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
24.7
Edge vs market
-1.2
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.0%
Spike rate
17%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DET | 85% | 3 | 10% |
Leverage
3.76×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| -1.34 |
| 2.1 |
| 17 | @ SF | 92% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 7 | 0 | -0.69 | 1.7 |
| 16 | vs GB | 95% | 7 | 24% | 1 | 109 | 1 | 0.77 | 21.9 |
| 15 | vs CLE | 88% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 69 | 2 | 1.16 | 22.9 |
| 14 | @ GB | 83% | 3 | 11% | 0 | -4 | 0 | -0.96 | 0.6 |
| 13 | @ PHI | 91% | 5 | 16% | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0.29 | 4.7 |
| 12 | vs PIT | 77% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 64 | 2 | 0.42 | 23.4 |
| 11 | @ MIN | 81% | 3 | 11% | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0.04 | 3.1 |
| 10 | vs NYG | 62% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.35 | 0.0 |
| 9 | @ CIN | 85% | 6 | 18% | 1 | 91 | 2 | 1.22 | 23.0 |
| 8 | @ BAL | 84% | 7 | 20% | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0.09 | 11.6 |
| 7 | vs NO | 87% | 5 | 20% | 1 | 52 | 0 | 0.11 | 8.2 |