Season2026·Week1
UpgradePHI vs WSH · Week 1
RB29 yrsPenn State16 games of history
Projection
14.7
Floor
8.1
Ceiling
24.6
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
93%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.8%
Spike rate
22%
Leverage
2.02×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | @ BUF | 80% | 0 | 0% | 19 | 68 | 0 | -0.07 | 6.8 |
| 16 | @ WAS | 77% | 2 | 7% | 21 | 132 | 1 | 0.21 | 21.2 |
| 15 | vs LV | 57% | 3 | 17% | 22 | 92 | 1 | -0.11 | 17.2 |
| 14 | @ LAC | 82% | 2 | 5% | 20 | 122 | 1 | -0.07 | 18.2 |
| 13 | vs CHI | 93% | 2 | 7% | 13 | 56 | 0 | -0.21 | 5.6 |
| 12 | @ DAL | 83% | 8 | 22% | 10 | 74 | 0 | -0.30 | 12.4 |
| 11 | vs DET | 81% | 2 | 7% | 26 | 90 | 0 | -0.26 | 10.0 |
| 10 | @ GB | 70% | 3 | 13% | 22 | 101 | 0 | -0.14 | 13.1 |
| 8 | vs NYG | 59% | 5 | 25% | 14 | 174 | 2 | 0.43 | 33.4 |
| 7 | @ MIN | 78% | 1 | 4% | 18 | 42 | 0 | -0.48 | 5.2 |
| 6 | @ NYG | 81% | 3 | 9% | 12 | 67 | 0 | -0.27 | 8.7 |
| 5 | vs DEN | 72% | 3 | 8% | 6 | 88 | 1 | 0.42 | 17.8 |