Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSF vs LAR · Week 1
TEPUP32 yrsIowa11 games of history
Projection
16.1
Floor
8.8
Ceiling
27.1
Edge vs market
+2.0
Confidence
83%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.3%
Spike rate
55%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs SEA | 95% | 7 | 26% |
7.54×
Hits his ceiling 55% of the time at a projected 3.3% ownership — 7.54× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 5 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 29 |
| 0 |
| -0.19 |
| 7.9 |
| 16 | @ IND | 62% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 115 | 1 | 1.22 | 24.5 |
| 15 | vs TEN | 96% | 9 | 32% | 0 | 88 | 1 | 0.61 | 22.8 |
| 13 | @ CLE | 87% | 5 | 22% | 0 | 67 | 0 | 0.49 | 10.7 |
| 12 | vs CAR | 91% | 10 | 31% | 0 | 78 | 0 | 0.41 | 13.8 |
| 11 | @ ARI | 87% | 6 | 24% | 0 | 67 | 2 | 1.42 | 24.7 |
| 10 | vs LA | 90% | 9 | 23% | 0 | 84 | 1 | 1.03 | 23.4 |
| 9 | @ NYG | 86% | 4 | 17% | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0.36 | 6.9 |
| 8 | @ HOU | 90% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 43 | 1 | 0.39 | 14.3 |
| 7 | vs ATL | 81% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0.0 |
| 1 | @ SEA | 28% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 25 | 1 | 1.07 | 12.5 |