Season2026·Week1
UpgradeMIN vs GB · Week 1
RB31 yrsUTEP12 games of history
Projection
10.5
Floor
6.8
Ceiling
16.0
Edge vs market
+0.8
Confidence
71%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.9%
Spike rate
1%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs DET | 65% | 4 | 29% |
0.14×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 18 |
| 63 |
| 1 |
| -0.28 |
| 15.3 |
| 16 | @ NYG | 64% | 3 | 13% | 21 | 93 | 0 | 0.05 | 11.3 |
| 15 | @ DAL | 58% | 3 | 13% | 12 | 65 | 0 | 0.07 | 9.5 |
| 14 | vs WAS | 45% | 1 | 4% | 14 | 76 | 0 | 0.14 | 7.6 |
| 13 | @ SEA | 37% | 4 | 14% | 6 | 25 | 0 | -0.65 | 4.5 |
| 12 | @ GB | 66% | 4 | 22% | 9 | 57 | 0 | 0.01 | 8.7 |
| 11 | vs CHI | 67% | 6 | 19% | 16 | 81 | 0 | -0.22 | 11.1 |
| 10 | vs BAL | 71% | 6 | 15% | 9 | 69 | 1 | -0.17 | 15.9 |
| 9 | @ DET | 42% | 2 | 9% | 9 | 98 | 0 | 0.53 | 11.8 |
| 8 | @ LAC | 53% | 4 | 13% | 5 | 30 | 0 | -0.26 | 5.0 |
| 2 | vs ATL | 43% | 1 | 5% | 5 | 23 | 0 | -0.10 | 2.3 |
| 1 | @ CHI | 50% | 3 | 15% | 8 | 67 | 1 | 0.25 | 15.7 |