Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNE vs SEA · Week 1
WR32 yrsNorth Carolina14 games of history
Projection
10.6
Floor
6.4
Ceiling
16.9
Edge vs market
+5.4
Confidence
87%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
2%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | @ BAL | 66% | 9 | 21% |
Leverage
0.68×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 69 |
| 0 |
| 0.46 |
| 13.9 |
| 15 | vs BUF | 79% | 8 | 36% | 0 | 41 | 0 | -0.04 | 8.1 |
| 13 | vs NYG | 75% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0.10 | 5.3 |
| 12 | @ CIN | 86% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 30 | 0 | -0.12 | 5.0 |
| 11 | vs NYJ | 85% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 64 | 0 | 0.75 | 10.4 |
| 10 | @ TB | 79% | 10 | 34% | 0 | 106 | 0 | 0.13 | 16.6 |
| 9 | vs ATL | 63% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.15 | 2.9 |
| 8 | vs CLE | 72% | 7 | 30% | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0.74 | 15.9 |
| 7 | @ TEN | 66% | 2 | 8% | 1 | 53 | 0 | 1.14 | 7.3 |
| 6 | @ NO | 55% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.90 | 4.8 |
| 4 | vs CAR | 49% | 1 | 6% | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2.46 | 7.4 |
| 3 | vs PIT | 62% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.7 |