Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCIN vs TB · Week 1
RB30 yrsOklahoma15 games of history
Projection
7.8
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
13.7
Edge vs market
+2.6
Confidence
91%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs CLE | 49% | 4 | 11% |
Leverage
0.06×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 8 |
| 52 |
| 0 |
| -0.12 |
| 8.2 |
| 17 | vs ARI | 31% | 1 | 3% | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0.42 | 8.3 |
| 16 | @ MIA | 39% | 3 | 10% | 7 | 41 | 1 | 0.25 | 12.1 |
| 15 | vs BAL | 45% | 1 | 3% | 14 | 43 | 0 | -0.45 | 5.3 |
| 14 | @ BUF | 37% | 1 | 3% | 6 | 38 | 0 | 0.58 | 4.8 |
| 13 | @ BAL | 40% | 2 | 5% | 14 | 54 | 0 | -0.51 | 5.4 |
| 9 | vs CHI | 1% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.5 |
| 8 | vs NYJ | 42% | 1 | 3% | 9 | 100 | 1 | 0.69 | 17.0 |
| 7 | vs PIT | 37% | 0 | 0% | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0.13 | 3.1 |
| 6 | @ GB | 46% | 3 | 8% | 6 | 32 | 0 | -0.11 | 5.2 |
| 5 | vs DET | 47% | 2 | 5% | 4 | 29 | 0 | -0.02 | 4.9 |
| 4 | @ DEN | 31% | 1 | 5% | 1 | 4 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.4 |