Season2026·Week1
UpgradeFA vs LAC · Week 1
WR30 yrsEast Carolina6 games of history
Projection
6.6
Floor
2.1
Ceiling
13.3
Edge vs market
+3.5
Confidence
65%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Leverage
0.09×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | @ SEA | 14% | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.97 | 0.0 |
| 7 | vs GB | 54% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 67 | 0 | 2.50 | 8.7 |
| 6 | @ IND | 79% | 8 | 21% | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0.07 | 12.9 |
| 5 | vs TEN | 50% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 8 | 0 | -0.31 | 2.8 |
| 3 | @ SF | 50% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0.63 | 4.5 |
| 1 | @ NO | 47% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.07 | 1.4 |