Season2026·Week1
UpgradeIND vs BAL · Week 1
TE32 yrsVCU11 games of history
Projection
6.0
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
11.3
Edge vs market
+1.7
Confidence
85%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
1%
Leverage
0.29×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ HOU | 42% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0.70 | 5.2 |
| 17 | vs JAX | 42% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 20 | 1 | 0.71 | 11.0 |
| 16 | vs SF | 22% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.71 | 3.6 |
| 14 | @ JAX | 27% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0.0 |
| 12 | @ KC | 49% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.9 |
| 10 | vs ATL | 45% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.40 | 0.0 |
| 9 | @ PIT | 37% | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0.0 |
| 7 | @ LAC | 30% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 6 | 0 | -0.23 | 1.6 |
| 6 | vs ARI | 63% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 16 | 0 | -2.61 | 2.6 |
| 2 | vs DEN | 35% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.36 | 1.8 |
| 1 | vs MIA | 45% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 20 | 0 | 1.36 | 3.0 |