Season2026·Week1
UpgradeKC vs DEN · Week 1
QBQuestionable30 yrsTexas Tech14 games of history
Projection
13.2
Floor
5.4
Ceiling
25.0
Edge vs market
+1.2
Confidence
89%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.5%
Spike rate
9%
Leverage
1.19×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | vs LAC | 92% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 204 | 1 | -0.04 | 13.1 |
| 14 | vs HOU | 100% | 1 | 3% | 7 | 209 | 0 | -0.50 | 6.3 |
| 13 | @ DAL | 100% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 291 | 4 | 0.49 | 29.4 |
| 12 | vs IND | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 382 | 0 | 0.23 | 17.1 |
| 11 | @ DEN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 279 | 1 | 0.02 | 13.3 |
| 9 | @ BUF | 100% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 255 | 0 | -0.03 | 10.5 |
| 8 | vs WAS | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 329 | 3 | 0.37 | 23.0 |
| 7 | vs LV | 80% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 314 | 3 | 0.56 | 26.2 |
| 6 | vs DET | 100% | 0 | 0% | 10 | 289 | 4 | 0.35 | 31.5 |
| 5 | @ JAX | 100% | 0 | 0% | 6 | 378 | 2 | 0.16 | 26.7 |
| 4 | vs BAL | 92% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 275 | 4 | 0.33 | 27.3 |
| 3 | @ NYG | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 226 | 1 | 0.16 | 13.2 |