Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSF vs LAR · Week 1
RBQuestionable30 yrsStanford17 games of history
Projection
19.4
Floor
11.2
Ceiling
32.0
Edge vs market
+1.9
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
12.6%
Spike rate
47%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs SEA | 86% | 7 | 26% |
Leverage
1.67×
Hits his ceiling 47% of the time at a projected 12.6% ownership — 1.67× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 2 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 8 |
| 57 |
| 0 |
| -0.43 |
| 11.7 |
| 17 | vs CHI | 85% | 6 | 18% | 23 | 181 | 1 | 0.10 | 28.1 |
| 16 | @ IND | 80% | 8 | 24% | 21 | 146 | 2 | 0.21 | 32.6 |
| 15 | vs TEN | 84% | 1 | 4% | 22 | 87 | 1 | -0.06 | 15.7 |
| 13 | @ CLE | 79% | 4 | 17% | 20 | 74 | 1 | 0.02 | 17.4 |
| 12 | vs CAR | 83% | 7 | 22% | 24 | 142 | 1 | 0.02 | 27.2 |
| 11 | @ ARI | 71% | 6 | 24% | 13 | 121 | 3 | 0.42 | 35.1 |
| 10 | vs LA | 78% | 10 | 26% | 12 | 96 | 0 | -0.22 | 17.6 |
| 9 | @ NYG | 86% | 6 | 26% | 28 | 173 | 2 | 0.18 | 34.3 |
| 8 | @ HOU | 96% | 6 | 19% | 8 | 68 | 0 | -0.05 | 9.8 |
| 7 | vs ATL | 75% | 8 | 33% | 24 | 201 | 2 | 0.42 | 39.1 |
| 6 | @ TB | 93% | 8 | 22% | 17 | 111 | 1 | 0.03 | 24.1 |