Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSF vs LAR · Week 1
WR31 yrsFlorida14 games of history
Projection
6.8
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
11.0
Edge vs market
+1.7
Confidence
92%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Leverage
0.00×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs SEA | 88% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0.34 | 5.4 |
| 17 | vs CHI | 35% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 30 | 0 | 1.23 | 5.0 |
| 16 | @ IND | 44% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1.08 | 10.3 |
| 15 | vs TEN | 31% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 36 | 0 | 2.00 | 5.6 |
| 13 | @ CLE | 43% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 6 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.6 |
| 12 | vs CAR | 54% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.09 | 1.8 |
| 11 | @ ARI | 49% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 13 | 0 | -0.19 | 2.3 |
| 10 | vs LA | 46% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.4 |
| 9 | @ NYG | 33% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.0 |
| 8 | @ HOU | 56% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.10 | 4.5 |
| 7 | vs ATL | 34% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.49 | 0.0 |
| 6 | @ TB | 19% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0.53 | 6.4 |