LAR vs SF · Week 1
TE33 yrsWestern Kentucky10 games of history
Projection
10.2
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
19.7
Edge vs market
+2.5
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
23%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs ARI | 64% | 6 | 16% |
Leverage
10.30×
Hits his ceiling 23% of the time at a projected 1.0% ownership — 10.30× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 22 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 91 |
| 1 |
| 1.35 |
| 20.1 |
| 11 | vs SEA | 39% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 23 | 0 | -1.27 | 3.3 |
| 10 | @ SF | 54% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 33 | 0 | 1.11 | 6.3 |
| 9 | vs NO | 52% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0.05 | 10.3 |
| 7 | @ JAX | 37% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 19 | 0 | -0.25 | 4.9 |
| 6 | @ BAL | 66% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 40 | 1 | 0.94 | 14.0 |
| 4 | vs IND | 55% | 5 | 13% | 0 | 25 | 0 | -0.52 | 4.5 |
| 3 | @ PHI | 55% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.0 |
| 2 | @ TEN | 75% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 37 | 0 | 0.50 | 7.7 |
| 1 | vs HOU | 58% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |