Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNE vs SEA · Week 1
TE31 yrsArkansas17 games of history
Projection
13.3
Floor
7.6
Ceiling
21.9
Edge vs market
-0.7
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.9%
Spike rate
39%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs MIA | 58% | 5 | 25% |
Leverage
9.15×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 56 |
| 0 |
| 0.28 |
| 10.6 |
| 17 | @ NYJ | 65% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 49 | 1 | 1.97 | 13.9 |
| 16 | @ BAL | 81% | 7 | 17% | 0 | 35 | 1 | 0.36 | 15.5 |
| 15 | vs BUF | 87% | 3 | 14% | 0 | 18 | 0 | -0.12 | 2.8 |
| 13 | vs NYG | 75% | 6 | 20% | 0 | 73 | 0 | 0.93 | 11.3 |
| 12 | @ CIN | 79% | 10 | 30% | 0 | 115 | 1 | 0.24 | 24.5 |
| 11 | vs NYJ | 94% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0.19 | 8.5 |
| 10 | @ TB | 87% | 4 | 14% | 0 | 9 | 0 | -0.55 | 1.9 |
| 9 | vs ATL | 75% | 6 | 21% | 0 | 51 | 0 | -0.07 | 9.1 |
| 8 | vs CLE | 76% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1.34 | 7.7 |
| 7 | @ TEN | 68% | 5 | 21% | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.20 | 7.3 |
| 6 | @ NO | 83% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.62 | 5.7 |