Season2026·Week1
UpgradeMIN vs GB · Week 1
QB33 yrsNorth Dakota State5 games of history
Projection
8.3
Floor
3.7
Ceiling
15.4
Edge vs market
+3.9
Confidence
59%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ LAC | 88% | 0 | 0% |
Leverage
0.03×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 144 |
| 1 |
| -0.47 |
| 7.8 |
| 7 | vs PHI | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 341 | 0 | -0.07 | 11.3 |
| 5 | @ CLE | 98% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 249 | 1 | 0.19 | 14.7 |
| 4 | @ PIT | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 362 | 2 | 0.10 | 21.2 |
| 3 | vs CIN | 80% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 177 | 2 | 0.33 | 15.3 |