Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCAR vs CHI · Week 1
TE33 yrsGeorgia Tech9 games of history
Projection
9.2
Floor
1.0
Ceiling
21.7
Edge vs market
+1.1
Confidence
80%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.7%
Spike rate
25%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs TB | 38% | 3 | 14% |
Leverage
6.72×
Hits his ceiling 25% of the time at a projected 1.7% ownership — 6.72× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 8 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| -0.62 |
| 1.0 |
| 16 | vs CIN | 49% | 5 | 17% | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0.86 | 7.0 |
| 15 | @ PIT | 54% | 8 | 31% | 0 | 66 | 2 | 0.70 | 25.6 |
| 14 | @ NYJ | 37% | 3 | 14% | 1 | 17 | 0 | -0.23 | 2.7 |
| 13 | vs NO | 47% | 3 | 15% | 0 | 47 | 0 | 0.66 | 6.7 |
| 7 | @ CLE | 28% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |
| 6 | vs LAC | 66% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0.87 | 9.2 |
| 5 | @ CAR | 58% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 78 | 1 | 2.07 | 18.8 |
| 4 | vs NYJ | 28% | 4 | 16% | 0 | 27 | 2 | 1.64 | 17.7 |