Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLAR vs SF · Week 1
WR33 yrsFresno State14 games of history
Projection
14.3
Floor
7.8
Ceiling
24.2
Edge vs market
+1.2
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.8%
Spike rate
20%
Leverage
2.35×
Hits his ceiling 20% of the time at a projected 3.8% ownership — 2.35× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 4 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | vs DET | 46% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 71 | 0 | 0.13 | 11.1 |
| 14 | @ ARI | 43% | 6 | 19% | 0 | 29 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.9 |
| 13 | @ CAR | 75% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 58 | 2 | 1.42 | 21.8 |
| 12 | vs TB | 77% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 62 | 2 | 0.56 | 23.2 |
| 11 | vs SEA | 86% | 8 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.89 | 7.1 |
| 10 | @ SF | 51% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 77 | 1 | 0.74 | 19.7 |
| 9 | vs NO | 60% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 60 | 2 | 0.83 | 23.0 |
| 7 | @ JAX | 59% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 35 | 3 | 0.15 | 26.5 |
| 6 | @ BAL | 79% | 9 | 35% | 0 | 39 | 0 | -0.05 | 7.9 |
| 5 | vs SF | 85% | 11 | 24% | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0.15 | 13.8 |
| 4 | vs IND | 83% | 6 | 15% | 0 | 56 | 1 | 0.90 | 15.6 |
| 3 | @ PHI | 86% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 56 | 1 | -0.64 | 14.6 |