Season2026·Week1
UpgradeKC vs DEN · Week 1
TE36 yrsCincinnati17 games of history
Projection
15.0
Floor
9.0
Ceiling
24.3
Edge vs market
+1.6
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.7%
Spike rate
50%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ LV | 80% | 6 | 20% |
Leverage
8.41×
Hits his ceiling 50% of the time at a projected 2.7% ownership — 8.41× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 7 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| -0.03 |
| 4.2 |
| 17 | vs DEN | 98% | 6 | 30% | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0.24 | 8.6 |
| 16 | @ TEN | 78% | 4 | 18% | 0 | 6 | 0 | -0.79 | 1.6 |
| 15 | vs LAC | 98% | 9 | 30% | 0 | 70 | 0 | 0.43 | 14.0 |
| 14 | vs HOU | 91% | 5 | 17% | 0 | 8 | 0 | -1.04 | 1.8 |
| 13 | @ DAL | 91% | 6 | 19% | 0 | 45 | 1 | 0.91 | 15.5 |
| 12 | vs IND | 88% | 6 | 14% | 1 | 44 | 0 | 0.07 | 8.4 |
| 11 | @ DEN | 79% | 13 | 30% | 0 | 91 | 1 | 0.49 | 24.1 |
| 9 | @ BUF | 92% | 5 | 17% | 0 | 66 | 0 | 1.16 | 12.6 |
| 8 | vs WAS | 84% | 8 | 25% | 0 | 99 | 1 | 0.29 | 21.9 |
| 7 | vs LV | 62% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 54 | 0 | 1.12 | 8.4 |
| 6 | vs DET | 70% | 7 | 25% | 0 | 78 | 0 | 1.25 | 13.8 |