Season2026·Week1
UpgradeFA · Week 1
TE35 yrsStanford13 games of history
Projection
11.4
Floor
5.4
Ceiling
20.5
Edge vs market
+2.3
Confidence
87%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
28%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | @ MIN | 69% | 2 | 10% |
Leverage
12.14×
Hits his ceiling 28% of the time at a projected 1.0% ownership — 12.14× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 15 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 1.08 |
| 2.1 |
| 13 | vs DEN | 67% | 13 | 29% | 0 | 106 | 0 | 0.27 | 20.6 |
| 11 | @ MIA | 75% | 8 | 28% | 0 | 42 | 0 | -0.79 | 8.2 |
| 10 | vs DET | 81% | 5 | 23% | 0 | 54 | 0 | 0.59 | 9.4 |
| 9 | vs SEA | 63% | 4 | 19% | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0.46 | 8.6 |
| 8 | @ KC | 62% | 6 | 20% | 0 | 16 | 0 | -0.85 | 5.6 |
| 7 | @ DAL | 67% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 37 | 1 | -0.03 | 12.7 |
| 6 | vs CHI | 60% | 6 | 25% | 0 | 43 | 1 | 0.85 | 16.3 |
| 5 | @ LAC | 53% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0.0 |
| 4 | @ ATL | 61% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.38 | 6.1 |
| 3 | vs LV | 52% | 3 | 17% | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.69 | 6.8 |
| 2 | @ GB | 90% | 8 | 20% | 0 | 64 | 1 | 0.58 | 18.4 |