Season2026·Week1
UpgradeMIA vs LV · Week 1
WR25 yrsMissouri3 games of history
Projection
7.1
Floor
2.3
Ceiling
14.4
Edge vs market
+0.7
Confidence
44%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
1%
Leverage
0.24×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ NE | 34% | 5 | 21% | 0 | 44 | 0 | -0.24 | 7.4 |
| 17 | vs TB | 27% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 63 | 1 | 6.16 | 13.3 |
| 16 | vs CIN | 36% | 4 | 14% | 0 | 32 | 0 | -0.71 | 5.2 |