Season2026·Week1
UpgradeBUF vs HOU · Week 1
TE24 yrsWashington3 games of history
Projection
5.7
Floor
1.2
Ceiling
12.6
Edge vs market
+1.5
Confidence
44%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
2%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs NYJ | 68% | 3 | 11% |
1.11×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 31 |
| 0 |
| 1.92 |
| 6.1 |
| 17 | vs PHI | 21% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |
| 11 | vs TB | 11% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 4 | 0 | -0.44 | 1.4 |