Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTEN vs NYJ · Week 1
WR24 yrsFlorida17 games of history
Projection
10.4
Floor
5.2
Ceiling
18.4
Edge vs market
+1.3
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.5%
Spike rate
4%
Leverage
1.17×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ JAX | 72% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.36 | 5.7 |
| 17 | vs NO | 78% | 5 | 14% | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0.13 | 10.2 |
| 16 | vs KC | 59% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 40 | 1 | 0.30 | 13.0 |
| 15 | @ SF | 70% | 5 | 19% | 1 | 10 | 0 | -0.46 | 5.0 |
| 14 | @ CLE | 67% | 8 | 32% | 0 | 24 | 1 | -0.01 | 13.4 |
| 13 | vs JAX | 76% | 4 | 11% | 1 | 9 | 0 | -0.50 | 1.9 |
| 12 | vs SEA | 80% | 7 | 18% | 0 | 44 | 1 | 0.15 | 21.4 |
| 11 | vs HOU | 27% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.33 | 3.4 |
| 9 | vs LAC | 87% | 3 | 14% | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.09 | 7.5 |
| 8 | @ IND | 89% | 8 | 22% | 1 | 94 | 0 | 0.42 | 16.4 |
| 7 | vs NE | 57% | 4 | 13% | 1 | 69 | 1 | 1.16 | 16.9 |
| 6 | @ LV | 56% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 8 | 0 | -1.35 | 2.8 |