Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNE vs SEA · Week 1
RB23 yrsOhio State17 games of history
Projection
12.7
Floor
3.5
Ceiling
26.7
Edge vs market
+0.2
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.1%
Spike rate
22%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs MIA | 41% | 0 | 0% |
3.17×
Hits his ceiling 22% of the time at a projected 3.1% ownership — 3.17× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 2 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 13 |
| 53 |
| 2 |
| -0.11 |
| 17.3 |
| 17 | @ NYJ | 52% | 0 | 0% | 19 | 82 | 0 | -0.10 | 8.2 |
| 16 | @ BAL | 19% | 1 | 2% | 5 | 12 | 0 | -0.25 | 2.2 |
| 15 | vs BUF | 48% | 3 | 14% | 14 | 161 | 2 | 0.48 | 30.1 |
| 13 | vs NYG | 49% | 4 | 13% | 11 | 86 | 0 | -0.00 | 11.6 |
| 12 | @ CIN | 65% | 4 | 12% | 18 | 81 | 0 | 0.03 | 11.1 |
| 11 | vs NYJ | 88% | 5 | 15% | 19 | 93 | 3 | 0.08 | 32.3 |
| 10 | @ TB | 84% | 1 | 3% | 14 | 150 | 2 | 0.56 | 28.0 |
| 9 | vs ATL | 75% | 6 | 21% | 14 | 87 | 0 | -0.04 | 12.7 |
| 8 | vs CLE | 21% | 0 | 0% | 10 | 75 | 0 | -0.07 | 5.5 |
| 7 | @ TEN | 14% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 5 | 0 | -0.30 | 0.5 |
| 6 | @ NO | 30% | 2 | 8% | 9 | 36 | 0 | -0.12 | 4.6 |