Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLV vs MIA · Week 1
RB22 yrsBoise State17 games of history
Projection
15.7
Floor
7.7
Ceiling
27.9
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
5.9%
Spike rate
30%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs KC | 97% | 5 | 19% |
2.29×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 26 |
| 94 |
| 0 |
| -0.47 |
| 12.4 |
| 17 | vs NYG | 81% | 2 | 7% | 16 | 73 | 0 | -0.13 | 9.3 |
| 16 | @ HOU | 93% | 2 | 9% | 24 | 188 | 2 | -0.24 | 31.8 |
| 15 | @ PHI | 71% | 6 | 24% | 9 | 42 | 0 | -0.27 | 8.2 |
| 14 | vs DEN | 70% | 4 | 14% | 10 | 38 | 0 | -0.32 | 5.8 |
| 13 | @ LAC | 96% | 8 | 36% | 15 | 61 | 0 | -0.43 | 12.1 |
| 12 | vs CLE | 81% | 8 | 19% | 17 | 108 | 1 | -0.12 | 24.8 |
| 11 | vs DAL | 73% | 8 | 21% | 6 | 34 | 0 | -0.23 | 9.4 |
| 10 | @ DEN | 87% | 5 | 20% | 19 | 63 | 1 | -0.40 | 15.3 |
| 9 | vs JAX | 91% | 5 | 13% | 13 | 89 | 1 | 0.11 | 19.9 |
| 7 | @ KC | 63% | 1 | 6% | 6 | 34 | 0 | -0.22 | 4.4 |
| 6 | vs TEN | 79% | 4 | 17% | 23 | 86 | 1 | -0.19 | 16.6 |