Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCLE vs JAX · Week 1
QB24 yrsColorado8 games of history
Projection
8.3
Floor
0.1
Ceiling
20.7
Edge vs market
-0.3
Confidence
76%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.1%
Spike rate
3%
Leverage
1.41×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ CIN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 137 | 0 | -0.30 | 5.0 |
| 17 | vs PIT | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 206 | 1 | -0.19 | 9.4 |
| 16 | vs BUF | 98% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 206 | 1 | -0.20 | 11.2 |
| 15 | @ CHI | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 201 | 0 | -0.58 | 3.5 |
| 14 | vs TEN | 97% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 393 | 4 | 0.19 | 33.5 |
| 13 | vs SF | 97% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 155 | 1 | -0.21 | 10.6 |
| 12 | @ LV | 90% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 208 | 1 | 0.09 | 10.3 |
| 11 | vs BAL | 51% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 63 | 0 | -0.74 | 1.5 |