Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCHI vs CAR · Week 1
TE22 yrsMichigan16 games of history
Projection
16.3
Floor
8.5
Ceiling
28.1
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.6%
Spike rate
56%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DET | 91% | 13 | 45% |
Leverage
6.89×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 91 |
| 1 |
| 0.19 |
| 25.1 |
| 17 | @ SF | 82% | 10 | 26% | 0 | 94 | 1 | 0.86 | 21.4 |
| 16 | vs GB | 83% | 5 | 17% | 0 | 30 | 0 | -0.12 | 6.0 |
| 15 | vs CLE | 65% | 5 | 19% | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0.81 | 10.1 |
| 14 | @ GB | 59% | 5 | 18% | 0 | 29 | 1 | 0.67 | 12.9 |
| 13 | @ PHI | 59% | 6 | 19% | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.53 | 5.8 |
| 12 | vs PIT | 65% | 5 | 17% | 0 | 49 | 1 | 0.57 | 14.9 |
| 11 | @ MIN | 75% | 4 | 14% | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0.74 | 7.0 |
| 10 | vs NYG | 62% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 55 | 0 | 0.96 | 9.5 |
| 9 | @ CIN | 81% | 7 | 21% | 0 | 118 | 2 | 1.50 | 29.8 |
| 8 | @ BAL | 81% | 5 | 14% | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.33 | 6.8 |
| 7 | vs NO | 67% | 4 | 16% | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0.87 | 5.4 |