Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTB vs CIN · Week 1
WRQuestionable23 yrsOhio State17 games of history
Projection
10.8
Floor
4.8
Ceiling
19.8
Edge vs market
-3.6
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.9%
Spike rate
7%
Leverage
1.63×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs CAR | 58% | 3 | 14% | 0 | 8 | 0 | -1.60 | 1.8 |
| 17 | @ MIA | 58% | 5 | 11% | 0 | 20 | 0 | -0.94 | 5.0 |
| 16 | @ CAR | 56% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 40 | 0 | 1.52 | 5.0 |
| 15 | vs ATL | 64% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 64 | 0 | 0.50 | 10.4 |
| 14 | vs NO | 88% | 9 | 32% | 0 | 15 | 0 | -0.31 | 3.5 |
| 13 | vs ARI | 85% | 8 | 31% | 0 | 42 | 0 | -0.25 | 8.2 |
| 12 | @ LA | 90% | 8 | 26% | 0 | 32 | 0 | -0.24 | 6.2 |
| 11 | @ BUF | 94% | 9 | 33% | 0 | 40 | 0 | -0.49 | 9.0 |
| 10 | vs NE | 88% | 13 | 30% | 0 | 115 | 1 | 0.12 | 23.5 |
| 8 | @ NO | 88% | 9 | 38% | 0 | 35 | 0 | -0.25 | 6.5 |
| 7 | @ DET | 75% | 12 | 24% | 0 | 58 | 0 | -0.69 | 9.8 |
| 6 | vs SF | 53% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 24 | 0 | -0.09 | 4.4 |