Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCLE vs JAX · Week 1
RB22 yrsOhio State14 games of history
Projection
11.6
Floor
6.2
Ceiling
19.8
Edge vs market
-0.8
Confidence
92%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.5%
Spike rate
7%
Leverage
1.20×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | vs BUF | 39% | 6 | 22% | 8 | 51 | 0 | -0.29 | 10.1 |
| 15 | @ CHI | 67% | 4 | 13% | 12 | 17 | 0 | -0.47 | 4.7 |
| 14 | vs TEN | 46% | 3 | 8% | 14 | 84 | 0 | -0.22 | 9.4 |
| 13 | vs SF | 60% | 3 | 13% | 23 | 109 | 0 | -0.15 | 15.9 |
| 12 | @ LV | 49% | 0 | 0% | 16 | 47 | 2 | -0.12 | 16.7 |
| 11 | vs BAL | 60% | 2 | 8% | 17 | 59 | 0 | -0.37 | 5.9 |
| 10 | @ NYJ | 52% | 3 | 9% | 22 | 85 | 0 | -0.16 | 10.5 |
| 8 | @ NE | 33% | 3 | 9% | 9 | 17 | 0 | -0.44 | 4.7 |
| 7 | vs MIA | 65% | 0 | 0% | 25 | 84 | 3 | -0.07 | 26.4 |
| 6 | @ PIT | 40% | 1 | 2% | 12 | 36 | 0 | -0.10 | 3.6 |
| 5 | vs MIN | 56% | 2 | 6% | 23 | 128 | 0 | 0.10 | 13.8 |
| 4 | @ DET | 58% | 4 | 12% | 21 | 115 | 1 | 0.14 | 21.5 |