CLE vs JAX · Week 1
TE22 yrsBowling Green16 games of history
Projection
16.2
Floor
10.7
Ceiling
24.8
Edge vs market
+0.1
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.5%
Spike rate
58%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs PIT | 23% | 2 | 9% |
Leverage
7.39×
Hits his ceiling 58% of the time at a projected 3.5% ownership — 7.39× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 1 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 30 |
| 1 |
| 0.83 |
| 11.0 |
| 16 | vs BUF | 86% | 6 | 22% | 1 | 35 | 2 | 0.17 | 19.5 |
| 15 | @ CHI | 96% | 14 | 45% | 1 | 50 | 0 | -0.79 | 12.0 |
| 14 | vs TEN | 90% | 11 | 29% | 0 | 114 | 1 | 0.50 | 25.4 |
| 13 | vs SF | 92% | 5 | 22% | 1 | 43 | 1 | -0.34 | 11.3 |
| 12 | @ LV | 90% | 6 | 33% | 1 | 44 | 0 | 0.13 | 8.4 |
| 11 | vs BAL | 73% | 5 | 20% | 0 | 26 | 0 | -0.35 | 4.6 |
| 10 | @ NYJ | 66% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 44 | 0 | -0.01 | 8.4 |
| 8 | @ NE | 74% | 8 | 24% | 1 | 64 | 1 | 0.21 | 18.4 |
| 7 | vs MIA | 82% | 5 | 28% | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0.35 | 7.6 |
| 6 | @ PIT | 80% | 10 | 20% | 0 | 81 | 0 | 0.16 | 15.1 |
| 5 | vs MIN | 79% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0.28 | 11.3 |