Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTEN vs NYJ · Week 1
WR23 yrsStanford16 games of history
Projection
10.0
Floor
6.4
Ceiling
15.6
Edge vs market
+1.2
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.4%
Spike rate
0%
Leverage
0.15×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ JAX | 94% | 10 | 30% | 0 | 50 | 0 | -0.82 | 8.0 |
| 17 | vs NO | 81% | 7 | 20% | 0 | 37 | 1 | 0.37 | 13.7 |
| 16 | vs KC | 56% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 58 | 0 | 1.40 | 8.8 |
| 15 | @ SF | 81% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1.18 | 2.7 |
| 14 | @ CLE | 80% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 14 | 1 | -1.65 | 8.4 |
| 13 | vs JAX | 85% | 5 | 14% | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1.03 | 1.5 |
| 11 | vs HOU | 85% | 6 | 17% | 0 | 11 | 0 | -0.34 | 3.1 |
| 9 | vs LAC | 64% | 6 | 29% | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0.38 | 7.6 |
| 8 | @ IND | 94% | 8 | 22% | 0 | 52 | 0 | -0.38 | 9.2 |
| 7 | vs NE | 96% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 29 | 0 | -0.22 | 4.9 |
| 6 | @ LV | 93% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0.23 | 5.7 |
| 5 | @ ARI | 72% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 18 | 0 | -0.27 | 3.8 |