Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYJ vs TEN · Week 1
TE22 yrsLSU13 games of history
Projection
10.9
Floor
6.7
Ceiling
17.2
Edge vs market
+0.7
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.1%
Spike rate
17%
Leverage
6.99×
Hits his ceiling 17% of the time at a projected 1.1% ownership — 6.99× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 4 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | vs MIA | 66% | 8 | 25% | 0 | 51 | 0 | -0.27 | 10.1 |
| 13 | vs ATL | 83% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.02 | 4.1 |
| 12 | @ BAL | 88% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 21 | 0 | -0.51 | 5.1 |
| 11 | @ NE | 75% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0.13 | 7.0 |
| 10 | vs CLE | 78% | 2 | 18% | 0 | 4 | 0 | -0.64 | 1.4 |
| 8 | @ CIN | 76% | 8 | 27% | 0 | 34 | 1 | 0.38 | 14.4 |
| 7 | vs CAR | 93% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0.41 | 6.1 |
| 6 | vs DEN | 96% | 1 | 6% | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.51 | 1.2 |
| 5 | vs DAL | 84% | 12 | 27% | 0 | 67 | 0 | 0.33 | 17.7 |
| 4 | @ MIA | 81% | 7 | 26% | 0 | 65 | 0 | 0.98 | 11.5 |
| 3 | @ TB | 74% | 6 | 17% | 0 | 18 | 0 | -0.28 | 5.8 |
| 2 | vs BUF | 72% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.04 | 1.5 |