Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYG vs DAL · Week 1
RB24 yrsArizona State8 games of history
Projection
12.2
Floor
4.8
Ceiling
23.4
Edge vs market
-0.5
Confidence
76%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.9%
Spike rate
16%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ PHI | 21% | 2 | 9% |
Leverage
2.45×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 3 |
| 30 |
| 1 |
| 0.17 |
| 10.0 |
| 7 | @ DEN | 60% | 6 | 18% | 16 | 94 | 1 | -0.06 | 18.4 |
| 6 | vs PHI | 71% | 2 | 8% | 19 | 110 | 3 | 0.34 | 31.0 |
| 5 | @ NO | 68% | 7 | 18% | 15 | 104 | 0 | -0.54 | 14.4 |
| 4 | vs LAC | 75% | 2 | 10% | 25 | 90 | 0 | -0.15 | 13.0 |
| 3 | vs KC | 59% | 8 | 27% | 10 | 121 | 1 | 0.30 | 24.1 |
| 2 | @ DAL | 52% | 3 | 8% | 11 | 59 | 1 | -0.19 | 13.9 |
| 1 | @ WAS | 12% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 9 | 0 | -0.58 | 2.9 |