Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNO vs DET · Week 1
WRPUP25 yrsYale8 games of history
Projection
6.1
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
10.9
Edge vs market
+1.7
Confidence
76%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Leverage
0.00×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | vs NYJ | 50% | 5 | 11% | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0.17 | 8.1 |
| 15 | vs CAR | 80% | 2 | 6% | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0.90 | 1.1 |
| 14 | @ TB | 45% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |
| 13 | @ MIA | 85% | 4 | 12% | 1 | 19 | 0 | -0.59 | 4.9 |
| 12 | vs ATL | 70% | 4 | 9% | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0.34 | 6.3 |
| 8 | vs TB | 6% | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.50 | 0.0 |
| 7 | @ CHI | 11% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.42 | 0.0 |
| 6 | vs NE | 4% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |