NO vs DET · Week 1
WR28 yrsUtah9 games of history
Projection
9.5
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
19.2
Edge vs market
+1.8
Confidence
80%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.9%
Spike rate
6%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | vs CAR | 55% | 6 | 19% |
Leverage
0.90×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 69 |
| 0 |
| 1.50 |
| 11.9 |
| 14 | @ TB | 93% | 5 | 25% | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0.62 | 7.0 |
| 13 | @ MIA | 88% | 8 | 24% | 0 | 93 | 1 | 0.81 | 23.3 |
| 12 | vs ATL | 89% | 7 | 16% | 0 | 37 | 0 | -0.37 | 6.7 |
| 10 | @ CAR | 87% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 15 | 0 | -0.35 | 2.5 |
| 8 | vs TB | 51% | 5 | 10% | 0 | 10 | 0 | -0.23 | 2.0 |
| 5 | vs NYG | 38% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.73 | 3.3 |
| 2 | vs SF | 34% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.92 | 7.3 |
| 1 | vs ARI | 23% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.36 | 2.3 |