Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYG vs DAL · Week 1
RB26 yrsPurdue15 games of history
Projection
13.3
Floor
4.9
Ceiling
26.0
Edge vs market
+4.8
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.2%
Spike rate
22%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DAL | 69% | 9 | 28% |
Leverage
3.05×
Hits his ceiling 22% of the time at a projected 3.2% ownership — 3.05× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 28 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 18 |
| 159 |
| 1 |
| 0.03 |
| 27.9 |
| 17 | @ LV | 66% | 2 | 7% | 14 | 57 | 0 | -0.02 | 6.7 |
| 16 | vs MIN | 62% | 2 | 15% | 16 | 78 | 0 | -0.20 | 9.8 |
| 15 | vs WAS | 76% | 4 | 11% | 15 | 97 | 2 | 0.12 | 24.7 |
| 13 | @ NE | 49% | 1 | 4% | 10 | 33 | 0 | -0.29 | 4.3 |
| 12 | @ DET | 71% | 4 | 12% | 20 | 130 | 0 | 0.08 | 16.0 |
| 11 | vs GB | 51% | 4 | 14% | 19 | 139 | 0 | 0.26 | 17.9 |
| 10 | @ CHI | 67% | 2 | 6% | 14 | 71 | 0 | -0.11 | 8.1 |
| 9 | vs SF | 44% | 4 | 13% | 5 | 37 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.7 |
| 8 | @ PHI | 63% | 3 | 14% | 10 | 53 | 0 | -0.01 | 7.3 |
| 7 | @ DEN | 36% | 0 | 0% | 9 | 46 | 1 | 0.22 | 10.6 |
| 6 | vs PHI | 30% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 6 | 0 | -0.48 | 0.6 |