Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCAR vs CHI · Week 1
WR24 yrsHoly Cross11 games of history
Projection
9.9
Floor
4.5
Ceiling
18.0
Edge vs market
-0.5
Confidence
85%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.4%
Spike rate
4%
Leverage
1.12×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ TB | 92% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 47 | 1 | -0.00 | 16.7 |
| 17 | vs SEA | 72% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.78 | 3.6 |
| 16 | vs TB | 81% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 47 | 0 | 0.32 | 7.7 |
| 15 | @ NO | 68% | 4 | 20% | 0 | 60 | 1 | 1.69 | 14.0 |
| 13 | vs LA | 55% | 6 | 30% | 0 | 74 | 1 | 1.26 | 17.4 |
| 12 | @ SF | 83% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.2 |
| 11 | @ ATL | 68% | 4 | 9% | 0 | 52 | 0 | 1.52 | 11.2 |
| 10 | vs NO | 75% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.08 | 5.1 |
| 9 | @ GB | 66% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.71 | 1.9 |
| 8 | vs BUF | 66% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 36 | 0 | -0.70 | 6.6 |
| 7 | @ NYJ | 37% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.0 |